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Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."The yield of 20/30-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 5 basis points on the release date of US CPI inflation data. Investors also paid attention to oil prices and Yellen's new debt supply. At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11), the yield of US 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 3.89 basis points to 4.2652%. After the release of US CPI inflation data at 21:30 Beijing time, it plunged significantly and refreshed at 22:41 (the beginning of US stock market). Then it rebounded, and the results released at 02:00 showed that the auction of 10-year US bonds was strong, the bid multiple reached a new high since 2016, and the yield reached 4.2750% at 03:00. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 1.02 basis points to 4.1532%, and reached 4.1741% at 21:17 (less than a quarter of an hour before the release of the US CPI data). After the data was released, it plunged, and reached 4.0969% at 22:41, and then gradually rebounded.Aiming at the low-interest inclusive credit intermediary packaging, I recently visited a number of loan intermediaries and found that these companies are very similar in business layout and office space. The bank logo on the wall is standard, and the daily performance information of loan managers is scrolled on the electronic screen hanging at the entrance. Observing the screen, it is not difficult to find that the Pratt & Whitney mortgage loan for small and micro enterprises is the main product of loan managers in the near future. Customizing shell companies for borrowers according to bank audit requirements to apply for mortgage loans has become a routine means for loan intermediaries to attract customers. Although many banks explicitly require that cooperation with loan intermediaries is not allowed, the attitude of bank branches and grassroots employees towards loan intermediaries is ambiguous. According to industry insiders, inclusive loans are special loans that benefit small and micro enterprises, farmers and other special groups and must be implemented. With the implementation of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises, banks and enterprises are expected to achieve accurate docking, so that credit resources can flow to small and micro enterprises with real financing needs. (CSI)

The CEO of Bank of America said that the sales and trading business is expected to hit a new high in the fourth quarter, and the income of investment banking business jumped. Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America, said that the quarterly income of the bank's investment banking business is expected to increase by at least 25% year-on-year, and the sales and trading business is expected to hit a new high. Moynihan said at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference on Wednesday that with the "continuous growth" of transactions, the investment banking revenue in the fourth quarter may exceed $1.4 billion. Analysts had expected that the investment banking revenue of the second largest bank in the United States would be close to $1.5 billion, equivalent to an increase of about 27%. At the same time, Moynihan said that the sales and trading business should once again record year-on-year growth, achieving medium-to-high single-digit growth in the last quarter of this year. Analysts predict that market revenue will increase by 8.2% to $4.06 billion. The business led by Jim DeMare "has reached a higher level, but we will set a record in the fourth quarter, so we feel good," Moynihan said.Jingye Intelligent: Shareholders intend to transfer 1.5% of the company's shares by inquiry. Jingye Intelligent (688290) announced on the evening of December 12 that Hangshi Asset Management (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd., a shareholder holding 6.35% of the company, intends to transfer 1.53 million shares by inquiry, accounting for 1.5% of the company's total share capital. The transferee of this inquiry transfer is an institutional investor with corresponding pricing ability and risk tolerance.Optimize the layout of branches. Brokers accelerate the transformation of wealth management. Recently, a number of brokers announced the cancellation of business offices to further optimize the layout of business outlets. According to insiders, the cancellation or establishment of a new business department of a securities company is mainly due to the strategic development of the company and the consideration of meeting the diversified needs of investors. Facing the increasingly fierce competition in the brokerage market, brokerage branches need to increase the application of financial technology in order to implement the wealth management strategy more effectively. (CSI)

Erdogan, Turkey: Thanks to the leaders of Somalia and Ethiopia for achieving historical reconciliation.Euronext: Due to an accident in the waterway, the delivery point of its February 2025 rapeseed futures (COMG5) contract along the Mosel River will be unavailable until further notice.Turkish President Erdogan: We have reached a joint memorandum with Ethiopia and Somalia.